Language:English
Titouan Droguet v Jaime Faria
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Titouan Droguet (Local)
Prediction 41.01%2.44fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.78%40.88%41.10%42.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.322.5145.45%43.13%43.10%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jaime Faria (Visit)
Prediction 58.99%1.70fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.885%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.07%59.12%58.90%61.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.601.601.6768.03%62.57%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Titouan Droguet (Local): 41.01%; Jaime Faria (Visit): 58.99%. For Titouan Droguet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV +2.92%E +1.16%K +1.94%G +0.057% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -0.767%E -0.317%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -0.767%E -0.317%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -1.18%E -0.489%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.59%E -0.661%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.41%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.41%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.25%E -1.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.25%E -1.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.66%E -1.61%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 00:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.25%E -1.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -8.56%E -5.52%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.28%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.51%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.97%E -5.11%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.30%EV -6.92%E -3.05%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.70%EV -13.28%E -9.03%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-06 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 23:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 23:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 23:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.97%E -4.04%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -1.48%E -0.885%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.79%E -4.45%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.97%E -5.11%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 61.54% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 38.46% | 62.5% | 2026-08-06 00:02 |