Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Titouan Droguet v Jaime Faria

Inizio: 2026-08-06 00:15 UTC

Finale: Titouan Droguet 2–0 Jaime Faria

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Titouan Droguet (Casa)

Previsione 41.06%2.44quota equa
EV -0.635%
Vantaggio -0.262%
Kelly -0.447%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.30%40.99%41.10%42.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.312.322.4245.45%43.25%43.10%41.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jaime Faria (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.94%1.70quota equa
EV -1.57%
Vantaggio -0.940%
Kelly -2.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.07%59.01%58.90%60.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.601.601.6768.03%62.51%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Titouan Droguet (Casa): 41.06%; Jaime Faria (Trasferta): 58.94%. Per Titouan Droguet (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.44. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.42, con un valore atteso del -0.635%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -0.635%E -0.262%K -0.447%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:50
SportsBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -1.05%E -0.434%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:49
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.46%E -0.607%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:45
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.28%E -0.957%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.34%E -2.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.34%E -2.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 00:05
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.51%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.75%E -1.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 00:03
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.51%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.34%E -2.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-06 00:05
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.51%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.51%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.51%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:05
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.51%E -1.49%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:05
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.33%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:05
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.74%E -2.04%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 00:05
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.74%E -2.04%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 00:05
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.74%E -2.04%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.15%E -2.23%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:05
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:05
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 22:50
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:05
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:05
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 00:05
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.56%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.38%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.30%EV -6.79%E -2.99%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.70%EV -13.36%E -9.09%K -28.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-06 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 22:50
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 22:50
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 23:59
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 23:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 23:58
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.62%E -3.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 22:50
DraftKings🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.85%E -3.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -1.57%E -0.940%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.67%E -4.39%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-06 00:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-08-06 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-08-06 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-08-06 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-08-06 00:05
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-08-06 00:05
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 61.54%1.60I 62.50%NM 38.46%62.5%2026-08-06 00:02