Idioma:Español
Titouan Droguet v Jaime Faria
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Titouan Droguet (Local)
Predicción 41.01%2.44momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.94%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.78%40.88%41.10%42.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.322.322.5145.45%43.13%43.10%39.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jaime Faria (Visitante)
Predicción 58.99%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.885%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.07%59.12%58.90%61.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.601.601.6768.03%62.57%62.50%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Titouan Droguet (Local): 41.01%; Jaime Faria (Visitante): 58.99%. Para Titouan Droguet (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.44. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.51, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.92%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV +2.92%E +1.16%K +1.94%G +0.057% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -0.767%E -0.317%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -0.767%E -0.317%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -1.18%E -0.489%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.59%E -0.661%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.41%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.41%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.25%E -1.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.25%E -1.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.66%E -1.61%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 00:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.25%E -1.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -8.56%E -5.52%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.28%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.51%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.97%E -5.11%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.30%EV -6.92%E -3.05%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.70%EV -13.28%E -9.03%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-06 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 23:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 23:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 23:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.97%E -4.04%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -1.48%E -0.885%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.79%E -4.45%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.97%E -5.11%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 61.54% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 38.46% | 62.5% | 2026-08-06 00:02 |