Langue:Français
Titouan Droguet v Jaime Faria
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Titouan Droguet (Local)
Prévision 41.01%2.44cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.94%
Croissance +0.057%
avec la cote maximale 2.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.78%40.88%41.10%42.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.322.322.5145.45%43.13%43.10%39.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jaime Faria (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.99%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.885%
Kelly -2.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.07%59.12%58.90%61.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.601.601.6768.03%62.57%62.50%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Titouan Droguet (Local) : 41.01% ; Jaime Faria (Visiteur) : 58.99%. Pour Titouan Droguet (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.44. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.51, soit une espérance positive de +2.92%.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV +2.92%E +1.16%K +1.94%G +0.057% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -0.767%E -0.317%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -0.767%E -0.317%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -1.18%E -0.489%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.59%E -0.661%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.41%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.41%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.25%E -1.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.82%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.25%E -1.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.66%E -1.61%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 00:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.25%E -1.98%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.46%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -8.56%E -5.52%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.28%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.61%E -3.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.51%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.97%E -5.11%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.30%EV -6.92%E -3.05%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.70%EV -13.28%E -9.03%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-06 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 23:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 23:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 23:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.97%E -4.04%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -1.48%E -0.885%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.79%E -4.45%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.97%E -5.11%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 61.54% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 38.46% | 62.5% | 2026-08-06 00:02 |