Language:English
Luciano Darderi v Juncheng Shang
Head to Head
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prediction 48.72%2.05fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.91%48.68%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.941.952.0055.56%51.58%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juncheng Shang (Visit)
Prediction 51.28%1.95fair odd
EV -0.001%
Edge -0.001%
Kelly -0.001%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%51.09%51.32%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.841.831.9556.18%54.38%54.64%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Luciano Darderi (Local): 48.72%; Juncheng Shang (Visit): 51.28%. For Juncheng Shang (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95003. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.95000, with an expected value of -0.001%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 14:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.59%E -1.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.59%E -1.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.62%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.64%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.64%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.59%E -1.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.46%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.46%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 14:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 14:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.31%E -6.84%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.001%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 13:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |