Idioma:Español
Luciano Darderi v Juncheng Shang
Resultado del partido
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Predicción 48.72%2.05momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.91%48.68%52.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.941.952.0055.56%51.57%51.28%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Juncheng Shang (Visitante)
Predicción 51.28%1.95momio equitativo
EV -0.001%
Ventaja -0.001%
Kelly -0.001%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.00%51.09%51.32%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.841.831.9555.56%54.38%54.64%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Luciano Darderi (Local): 48.72%; Juncheng Shang (Visitante): 51.28%. Para Juncheng Shang (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.95003. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.95000, con un valor esperado de -0.001%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 14:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.59%E -1.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.64%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 15:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.59%E -1.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.62%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.64%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.64%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.59%E -1.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.46%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.46%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 14:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 14:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.31%E -6.84%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.001%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 13:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |