Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Luciano Darderi v Juncheng Shang

2026-08-06 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Luciano Darderi (Local)

Prévision 48.72%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.91%48.68%52.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.941.952.0055.56%51.57%51.28%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Juncheng Shang (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.28%1.95cote équitable
EV -0.001%
Avantage -0.001%
Kelly -0.001%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.00%51.09%51.32%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.841.831.9555.56%54.38%54.64%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Luciano Darderi (Local) : 48.72% ; Juncheng Shang (Visiteur) : 51.28%. Pour Juncheng Shang (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.95003. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.95000, pour une espérance de -0.001% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 14:06
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.59%E -1.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 14:10
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.64%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 15:14
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 14:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 14:05
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 14:10
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 14:05
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.59%E -1.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.62%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.64%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.64%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:00
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:04
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:59
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:00
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:00
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:10
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.59%E -1.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.67%E -3.66%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.46%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.46%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 14:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 14:00
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.16%E -3.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 14:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 14:04
ReBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.18%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 14:10
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.31%E -6.84%K -15.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.001%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 13:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%3.3%2026-08-05 15:15
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%4.1%2026-08-05 14:50