預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Luciano Darderi v Juncheng Shang

開賽時間: 2026-08-06 16:35 UTC

最終賽果: Luciano Darderi 2–1 Juncheng Shang

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Luciano Darderi (主隊)

預測 47.51%2.10公平賠率
EV -1.18%
優勢 -0.568%
Kelly -1.09%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.08

博彩公司預測分布
46.11%47.53%47.38%50.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.872.002.002.0853.48%49.96%50.00%48.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Juncheng Shang (客隊)

預測 52.49%1.91公平賠率
EV -1.32%
優勢 -0.700%
Kelly -1.50%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.88

博彩公司預測分布
50.00%52.47%52.62%53.89%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.731.801.801.8857.80%55.52%55.56%53.19%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Luciano Darderi (主隊):47.51%;Juncheng Shang (客隊):52.49%。 對於「Luciano Darderi (主隊)」,該估計相當於2.10的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為2.08,期望值為-1.18%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.18%E -0.568%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.57%E -3.69%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.18%E -0.568%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.57%E -3.69%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 11:25
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:04
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 11:24
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 11:25
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:05
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:05
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:05
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:10
Coolbet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.08%E -1.51%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.56%E -1.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.99%E -2.76%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -4.03%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -1.32%E -0.700%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 16:25
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.03%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.47%E -2.45%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 16:24
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.03%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.99%E -2.76%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 04:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.03%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.04%E -3.37%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 15:10
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.03%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.04%E -3.37%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.51%E -2.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.99%E -2.76%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 10:05
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.51%E -2.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.99%E -2.76%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 15:35
Betsson🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.51%E -2.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.99%E -2.76%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 10:05
NordicBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.51%E -2.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.99%E -2.76%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 16:10
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 16:32
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:15
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 08:47
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 08:44
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 21:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 10:05
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 21:30
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 04:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 16:10
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.09%E -4.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 10:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.19%E -5.31%K -12.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 14:05
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.93%E -3.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 16:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.93%E -3.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.42%E -1.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.93%E -3.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 10:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.93%E -3.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.93%E -3.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.93%E -3.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.93%E -3.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 07:05
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.41%E -3.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.57%E -3.69%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 16:32
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.88%E -3.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 07:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.88%E -3.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 07:05
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 12:34
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 12:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 07:04
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 07:05
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 01:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.57%E -3.69%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 15:15
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.14%E -4.65%K -10.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 07:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.26%E -4.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 16:32
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.73%E -5.12%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 10:10
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.16%E -5.97%K -12.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.84%E -0.985%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 14:49
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-08-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-08-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-08-06 16:25
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-08-06 16:25
ProphetX◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%1.0%2026-08-06 16:25
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-08-06 16:25
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-08-06 16:25