Язык:Русский
Luciano Darderi v Brandon Nakashima
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Luciano Darderi (Хозяева)
Прогноз 31.04%3.22справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.877%
Преимущество +0.270%
Kelly +0.390%
Рост +0.003%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.82%31.13%30.94%33.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.802.993.003.2535.71%33.42%33.33%30.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Brandon Nakashima (Гости)
Прогноз 68.96%1.45справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.08%
Преимущество -1.46%
Kelly -4.94%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.42
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.35%68.87%69.06%70.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.391.391.4275.76%72.17%71.94%70.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Luciano Darderi (Хозяева): 31.04%; Brandon Nakashima (Гости): 68.96%. Для исхода «Luciano Darderi (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.22. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.25, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.877%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +0.877%E +0.270%K +0.390%G +0.003% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.675%E -0.211%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.675%E -0.211%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.23%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.23%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -3.16%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.47%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.47%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.97%E -6.80%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.40%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.40%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.64%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 02:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:38 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 16:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 16:18 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -11.54%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |