Sprache:Deutsch
Luciano Darderi v Brandon Nakashima
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Luciano Darderi (Heim)
Prognose 31.04%3.22faire Quote
EV +0.877%
Vorteil +0.270%
Kelly +0.390%
Wachstum +0.003%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.82%31.13%30.94%33.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.802.993.003.2535.71%33.42%33.33%30.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Brandon Nakashima (Auswärts)
Prognose 68.96%1.45faire Quote
EV -2.08%
Vorteil -1.46%
Kelly -4.94%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.42
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.35%68.87%69.06%70.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.321.391.391.4275.76%72.17%71.94%70.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Luciano Darderi (Heim): 31.04%; Brandon Nakashima (Auswärts): 68.96%. Für Luciano Darderi (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.22. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.877%.
Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +0.877%E +0.270%K +0.390%G +0.003% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.675%E -0.211%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.675%E -0.211%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.23%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.23%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -3.16%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.47%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.47%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.97%E -6.80%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.40%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.40%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.64%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 02:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:38 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 16:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 16:18 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -11.54%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |