Język:Polski
Luciano Darderi v Brandon Nakashima
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 31.04%3.22kurs godziwy
EV +0.877%
Przewaga +0.270%
Kelly +0.390%
Wzrost +0.003%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.82%31.13%30.94%33.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.802.993.003.2535.71%33.42%33.33%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Brandon Nakashima (Goście)
Prognoza 68.96%1.45kurs godziwy
EV -2.08%
Przewaga -1.46%
Kelly -4.94%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.42
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.35%68.87%69.06%70.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.391.391.4275.76%72.17%71.94%70.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze): 31.04%; Brandon Nakashima (Goście): 68.96%. Dla wyniku Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.22. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.877%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +0.877%E +0.270%K +0.390%G +0.003% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.675%E -0.211%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.675%E -0.211%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.23%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.23%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -3.16%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.47%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.47%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.97%E -6.80%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.40%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.40%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.64%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 02:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:38 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 16:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 16:18 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -11.54%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |