Langue:Français
Luciano Darderi v Brandon Nakashima
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prévision 31.04%3.22cote équitable
EV +0.877%
Avantage +0.270%
Kelly +0.390%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.82%31.13%30.94%33.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.993.003.2535.71%33.42%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Brandon Nakashima (Visiteur)
Prévision 68.96%1.45cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -4.94%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.35%68.87%69.06%70.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.391.391.4275.76%72.17%71.94%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Luciano Darderi (Local) : 31.04% ; Brandon Nakashima (Visiteur) : 68.96%. Pour Luciano Darderi (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.22. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +0.877%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +0.877%E +0.270%K +0.390%G +0.003% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.675%E -0.211%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.675%E -0.211%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.23%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.23%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -3.16%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.47%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.47%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.97%E -6.80%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.40%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.40%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.64%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 02:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.44%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 13:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:38 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 16:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 16:18 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -11.54%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.08%E -1.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:25 |