语言:简体中文
Joao Fonseca v Ben Shelton
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Joao Fonseca (主队)
预测 45.35%2.21公平赔率
EV +2.94%
优势 +1.30%
Kelly +2.32%
增长率 +0.068%
假设最高赔率为 2.27
博彩公司预测分布
42.09%45.24%45.33%47.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.132.102.2750.00%46.93%47.62%44.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ben Shelton (客队)
预测 54.65%1.83公平赔率
EV +0.009%
优势 +0.005%
Kelly +0.011%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.83
博彩公司预测分布
52.22%54.76%54.67%57.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.701.701.8362.11%58.70%58.82%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Joao Fonseca (主队)：45.35%；Ben Shelton (客队)：54.65%。 对于“Joao Fonseca (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.21。 当时有18家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.27，对应+2.94%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV +2.94%E +1.30%K +2.32%G +0.068% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -9.83%E -5.96%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.83%E -5.96%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 21:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.13%E +0.507%K +0.919%G +0.010% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.13%E +0.507%K +0.919%G +0.010% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -0.230%E -0.104%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.230%E -0.104%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.01%E -7.46%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.683%E -0.312%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.82%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.63%E -0.906%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.67%E -2.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.58%E -3.19%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 20:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 20:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 22:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 22:03 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |