Idioma:Español
Joao Fonseca v Ben Shelton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Predicción 45.35%2.21momio equitativo
EV +2.94%
Ventaja +1.30%
Kelly +2.32%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.09%45.24%45.33%47.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.102.2750.00%46.93%47.62%44.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Predicción 54.65%1.83momio equitativo
EV +0.009%
Ventaja +0.005%
Kelly +0.011%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.22%54.76%54.67%57.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.701.701.8362.11%58.70%58.82%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Joao Fonseca (Local): 45.35%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 54.65%. Para Joao Fonseca (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.21. 18 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.27, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.94%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV +2.94%E +1.30%K +2.32%G +0.068% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -9.83%E -5.96%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.83%E -5.96%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 21:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.13%E +0.507%K +0.919%G +0.010% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.13%E +0.507%K +0.919%G +0.010% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -0.230%E -0.104%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.230%E -0.104%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.01%E -7.46%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.683%E -0.312%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.82%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.63%E -0.906%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.67%E -2.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.58%E -3.19%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 20:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 20:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 22:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 22:03 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |