Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Joao Fonseca v Ben Shelton

2026-08-09 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

47%

53%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Joao Fonseca (Local)

Predicción 47.47%2.11momio equitativo

EV -1.73%

Ventaja -0.836%

Kelly -1.62%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

46.05%47.40%47.54%48.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.902.002.002.0752.63%50.09%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Predicción 52.53%1.90momio equitativo

EV -2.83%

Ventaja -1.53%

Kelly -3.32%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

51.32%52.60%52.46%53.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.721.801.801.8558.14%55.69%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Joao Fonseca (Local): 47.47%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 52.53%. Para Joao Fonseca (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.11. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.07, con un valor esperado de -1.73%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Pinnacle🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.73%E -0.836%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-08 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-08 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-08 12:49
PlayUp🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.77%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-08 09:49
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.77%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-08 09:50
1xBet🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.63%E -1.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-08 09:16
Unibet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
Casumo🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
Grosvenor🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
TABtouch🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
BetRivers🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:26
ATG (SE)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
Bally Bet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:25
betPARX🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:26
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.35%E -1.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-08 09:10
BoyleSports🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 10:45
Bovada🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-08 09:10
NordicBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-08 08:40
Betsson🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-08 08:41
FanDuel🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-08 08:40
DraftKings🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 07:25
William Hill🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 07:25
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 07:25
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 07:25
betfred_uk🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 07:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 07:25
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 07:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 07:45
Paddy Power🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 08:45
Sky Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 08:45
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.03%E -3.97%K -9.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-08 07:25
SportsBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.03%E -3.97%K -9.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-08 08:40
Caesars🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.03%E -3.97%K -9.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-08 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.05%E -2.53%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.65%E -5.61%K -13.41%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-08 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.53%E -2.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.08%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-08 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.53%E -2.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-08 08:50
GTbets🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.08%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-08 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.08%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-08 09:44
BetMGM🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-08 07:25
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.48%E -3.29%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.50%E -3.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-08 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.48%E -3.29%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.77%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-08 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-08 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-08 07:26
Neds🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-08 07:25
TAB🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.83%E -1.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-08 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-08 07:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-08 08:40
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-08 07:25
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-08 08:41
BetUS🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-08 12:55
BetAnything🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-08 13:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.38%E -4.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.77%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-08 08:40
ReBet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.80%E -5.16%K -10.89%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.60%E -4.94%K -11.63%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-08-08 08:40

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%	2.1%	2026-08-08 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%	2.1%	2026-08-08 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%	2.1%	2026-08-08 13:45
Matchbook◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%	2.3%	2026-08-08 13:05
Smarkets◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%	1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%	2.9%	2026-08-08 13:45
Novig◎	2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%	2.9%	2026-08-08 10:06
ProphetX◎	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%	3.0%	2026-08-08 12:45