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Joao Fonseca v Ben Shelton
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Joao Fonseca (Хозяева)
Прогноз 45.35%2.21справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.94%
Преимущество +1.30%
Kelly +2.32%
Рост +0.068%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.27
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.09%45.24%45.33%47.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.132.102.2750.00%46.93%47.62%44.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ben Shelton (Гости)
Прогноз 54.65%1.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.009%
Преимущество +0.005%
Kelly +0.011%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.22%54.76%54.67%57.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.611.701.701.8362.11%58.70%58.82%54.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Joao Fonseca (Хозяева): 45.35%; Ben Shelton (Гости): 54.65%. Для исхода «Joao Fonseca (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.21. 18 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.27, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.94%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV +2.94%E +1.30%K +2.32%G +0.068% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -9.83%E -5.96%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.83%E -5.96%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 21:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.13%E +0.507%K +0.919%G +0.010% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.13%E +0.507%K +0.919%G +0.010% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -0.230%E -0.104%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.230%E -0.104%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.01%E -7.46%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.683%E -0.312%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.82%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 21:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.63%E -0.906%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.67%E -2.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.58%E -3.19%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 20:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 20:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 22:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 22:03 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |