Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Joao Fonseca v Ben Shelton

Inizio: 2026-08-09 22:07 UTC

Finale: Joao Fonseca 0–2 Ben Shelton

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Joao Fonseca (Casa)

Previsione 45.35%2.21quota equa
EV +2.94%
Vantaggio +1.30%
Kelly +2.32%
Crescita +0.068%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.09%45.24%45.33%47.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.102.2750.00%46.93%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ben Shelton (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.65%1.83quota equa
EV +0.009%
Vantaggio +0.005%
Kelly +0.011%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.22%54.76%54.67%57.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.701.701.8362.11%58.70%58.82%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Joao Fonseca (Casa): 45.35%; Ben Shelton (Trasferta): 54.65%. Per Joao Fonseca (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.21. 18 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.27, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.94%.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV +2.94%E +1.30%K +2.32%G +0.068%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -9.83%E -5.96%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.83%E -5.96%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 21:39
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:40
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.04%E +0.906%K +1.63%G +0.033%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.37%E -6.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.13%E +0.507%K +0.919%G +0.010%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.13%E +0.507%K +0.919%G +0.010%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -0.230%E -0.104%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 21:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.230%E -0.104%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.01%E -7.46%K -19.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 21:40
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.683%E -0.312%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.82%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 21:55
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 21:40
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 21:20
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 21:45
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 21:15
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 21:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 21:40
ReBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.63%E -0.906%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 21:20
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:05
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 21:20
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 19:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:15
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.46%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 20:30
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:05
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 21:45
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 21:25
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.76%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 22:00
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.67%E -2.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.58%E -3.19%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 22:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 22:00
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 22:00
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 22:05
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 20:10
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 21:45
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 21:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 21:59
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 21:45
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 22:00
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 20:53
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.10%E -4.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 20:53
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 22:03
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.011%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 10:45
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 22:03
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-09 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-09 22:05
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-09 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-09 22:05
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-09 21:55
ProphetX◎2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%1.8%2026-08-09 22:05
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-08-09 22:05