Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jiri Lehecka v Vit Kopriva

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 22:14 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prediction 78.96%1.27fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -8.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.88%78.93%78.90%81.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.201.201.2487.72%83.43%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vit Kopriva (Visit)

Prediction 21.04%4.75fair odd
EV +7.29%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.130%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.66%21.07%21.10%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.524.505.1025.64%22.14%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 78.96%; Vit Kopriva (Visit): 21.04%. For Vit Kopriva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.75. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.29%E +1.43%K +1.78%G +0.130%5.1%2026-08-04 21:54
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.18%E +1.04%K +1.30%G +0.067%5.5%2026-08-04 21:20
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024%3.1%2026-08-04 20:05
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024%5.2%2026-08-04 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024%8.1%2026-08-04 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:04
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:34
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.13%E -0.240%K -0.305%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:55
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.13%E -0.240%K -0.305%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 19:45
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 80.07%EV -8.40%E -7.24%K -52.52%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 19.93%EV -1.97%E -0.422%K -0.538%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 20:15
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -2.18%E -0.469%K -0.597%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.39%E -0.515%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:55
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.39%E -0.515%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 21:55
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:59
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 19:35
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:55
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:54
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:54
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 21:54
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:55
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:54
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.32%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.68%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 21:55
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:54
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:54
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 19:50
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:54
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.59%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:55
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:55
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:55
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:00
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:58
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:00
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:59
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -12.70%E -3.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:55
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 21:54
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:54
betano_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 79.74%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.26%1.1%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-08-04 21:55
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-08-04 21:55
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%3.1%2026-08-04 21:55