StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jiri Lehecka v Vit Kopriva

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-04 22:14 UTC

Endstand: Jiri Lehecka 2–0 Vit Kopriva

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jiri Lehecka (Heim)

Prognose 78.96%1.27faire Quote
EV -2.09%
Vorteil -1.68%
Kelly -8.69%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.24

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
75.88%78.93%78.90%81.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.141.201.201.2487.72%83.43%83.33%80.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Vit Kopriva (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.04%4.75faire Quote
EV +7.29%
Vorteil +1.43%
Kelly +1.78%
Wachstum +0.130%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.66%21.07%21.10%24.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.904.524.505.1025.64%22.14%22.22%19.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jiri Lehecka (Heim): 78.96%; Vit Kopriva (Auswärts): 21.04%. Für Vit Kopriva (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.75. 19 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.10 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.29%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.29%E +1.43%K +1.78%G +0.130%5.1%2026-08-04 21:54
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.18%E +1.04%K +1.30%G +0.067%5.5%2026-08-04 21:20
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024%3.1%2026-08-04 20:05
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024%5.2%2026-08-04 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024%8.1%2026-08-04 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:04
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:34
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.13%E -0.240%K -0.305%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:55
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.13%E -0.240%K -0.305%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 19:45
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 80.07%EV -8.40%E -7.24%K -52.52%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 19.93%EV -1.97%E -0.422%K -0.538%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 20:15
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -2.18%E -0.469%K -0.597%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.39%E -0.515%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:55
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.39%E -0.515%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 21:55
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:59
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 19:35
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:55
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:54
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:54
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 21:54
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:55
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:54
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.32%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.68%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 21:55
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:54
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:54
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 19:50
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:54
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.59%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:55
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:55
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:55
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:00
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:58
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:00
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:59
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -12.70%E -3.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:55
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 21:54
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:54
betano_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 79.74%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.26%1.1%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-08-04 21:55
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-08-04 21:55
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%3.1%2026-08-04 21:55