Idioma:Español
Jiri Lehecka v Vit Kopriva
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Predicción 78.96%1.27momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -8.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.88%78.93%78.90%81.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.201.201.2487.72%83.43%83.33%80.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Vit Kopriva (Visitante)
Predicción 21.04%4.75momio equitativo
EV +7.29%
Ventaja +1.43%
Kelly +1.78%
Crecimiento +0.130%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.66%21.07%21.10%24.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.524.505.1025.64%22.14%22.22%19.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 78.96%; Vit Kopriva (Visitante): 21.04%. Para Vit Kopriva (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.75. 19 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.29%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.29%E +1.43%K +1.78%G +0.130% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.18%E +1.04%K +1.30%G +0.067% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Casumo | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Unibet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| betPARX | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 19:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.13%E -0.240%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.13%E -0.240%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| GTbets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.07%EV -8.40%E -7.24%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 19.93%EV -1.97%E -0.422%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -2.18%E -0.469%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.39%E -0.515%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.39%E -0.515%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Betsson | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.32%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.68%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 19:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.59%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:58 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -12.70%E -3.06%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Neds | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.74% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |