Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka v Vit Kopriva

Início: 2026-08-04 22:14 UTC

Final: Jiri Lehecka 2–0 Vit Kopriva

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Previsão 78.96%1.27odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -8.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.88%78.93%78.90%81.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.201.201.2487.72%83.43%83.33%80.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vit Kopriva (Visitante)

Previsão 21.04%4.75odd justa
EV +7.29%
Vantagem +1.43%
Kelly +1.78%
Crescimento +0.130%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.66%21.07%21.10%24.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.524.505.1025.64%22.14%22.22%19.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 78.96%; Vit Kopriva (Visitante): 21.04%. Para Vit Kopriva (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.75. 19 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.29%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.29%E +1.43%K +1.78%G +0.130%5.1%2026-08-04 21:54
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.18%E +1.04%K +1.30%G +0.067%5.5%2026-08-04 21:20
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024%3.1%2026-08-04 20:05
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024%5.2%2026-08-04 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +3.08%E +0.629%K +0.790%G +0.024%8.1%2026-08-04 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.977%E +0.203%K +0.257%G +0.003%5.6%2026-08-04 19:35
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:04
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:34
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.13%E -0.240%K -0.305%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:55
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.13%E -0.240%K -0.305%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 19:45
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 80.07%EV -8.40%E -7.24%K -52.52%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 19.93%EV -1.97%E -0.422%K -0.538%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 20:15
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -2.18%E -0.469%K -0.597%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.39%E -0.515%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:55
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.39%E -0.515%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 21:55
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:59
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.23%E -0.702%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 19:35
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:55
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:54
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:54
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 21:54
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:55
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.33%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:54
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.32%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.68%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 21:55
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.39%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:54
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:54
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.44%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 19:50
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.91%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:54
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.54%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.59%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:55
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:55
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:55
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:00
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:58
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:00
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.65%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:59
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -12.70%E -3.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:55
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:55
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 21:54
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:54
betano_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.85%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.09%E -1.68%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -17.96%E -4.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 79.74%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.26%1.1%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-08-04 21:55
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-08-04 21:55
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%3.1%2026-08-04 21:55