Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hubert Hurkacz v Alejandro Tabilo

2026-08-05 17:40 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Prediction 60.11%1.66fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -5.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.14%60.13%60.10%61.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.571.6165.79%63.85%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visit)

Prediction 39.89%2.51fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.96%39.87%39.90%40.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4645.45%42.48%42.55%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 60.11%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visit): 39.89%. For Alejandro Tabilo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.46, with an expected value of -1.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 21:14
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:45
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:25
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:43
Betsson1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:35
NordicBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:35
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:20
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:45
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:24
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:14
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:00
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:20
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:24
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:25
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 20:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 19:55
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 20:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:00
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:25
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:25
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:00
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:20
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 21:25
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:10
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 23:45
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:25
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:00
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 21:24
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 21:25
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 21:24
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.63%E -5.68%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.63%E -5.68%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 21:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-08-05 01:35
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%6.4%2026-08-05 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%6.7%2026-08-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%6.7%2026-08-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%9.2%2026-08-05 01:40