La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Hubert Hurkacz v Alejandro Tabilo

Inicio: 2026-08-05 19:12 UTC

Final: Hubert Hurkacz 2–0 Alejandro Tabilo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Predicción 57.58%1.74momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%57.78%57.53%60.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.651.7064.52%60.85%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)

Predicción 42.42%2.36momio equitativo
EV +0.970%
Ventaja +0.407%
Kelly +0.703%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%42.22%42.47%43.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.232.232.3846.51%44.80%44.84%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 57.58%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 42.42%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.36. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.970%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.970%E +0.407%K +0.703%G +0.007%5.7%2026-08-05 05:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +0.121%E +0.051%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +0.121%E +0.051%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.76%E -6.94%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.27%E -1.44%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 14:05
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.70%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.70%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.70%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.12%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 17:55
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.12%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:59
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 16:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.42%E -2.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 14:05
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:00
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:19
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 15:25
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.97%E -2.22%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:05
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:55
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 16:05
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 13:55
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 16:44
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 16:49
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 16:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.88%E -4.92%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.88%E -4.92%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.42%E -2.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -7.09%E -3.24%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 19:05
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -7.09%E -3.24%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 11:09
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.79%E -4.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.88%E -4.92%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.79%E -4.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 19:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-05 18:40
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-05 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-05 18:55
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-05 19:05
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%2.5%2026-08-05 19:05