Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hubert Hurkacz v Alejandro Tabilo

Início: 2026-08-05 19:12 UTC

Final: Hubert Hurkacz 2–0 Alejandro Tabilo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Previsão 57.58%1.74odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -3.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%57.78%57.53%60.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.641.651.7064.52%60.85%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)

Previsão 42.42%2.36odd justa
EV +0.970%
Vantagem +0.407%
Kelly +0.703%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%42.22%42.47%43.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.232.232.3846.51%44.80%44.84%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 57.58%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 42.42%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.36. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.38, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.970%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.970%E +0.407%K +0.703%G +0.007%5.7%2026-08-05 05:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +0.121%E +0.051%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +0.121%E +0.051%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.76%E -6.94%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.42%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.27%E -1.44%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 14:05
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.70%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.70%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.70%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 14:05
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.12%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 17:55
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.12%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:59
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 16:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.42%E -2.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 14:05
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:00
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:19
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 15:25
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.55%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.97%E -2.22%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.39%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:55
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:05
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:55
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.85%E -2.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 16:05
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 13:55
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 16:44
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 16:49
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 16:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.88%E -4.92%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.88%E -4.92%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.67%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.42%E -2.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -7.09%E -3.24%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 19:05
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -7.09%E -3.24%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 11:09
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.79%E -4.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.88%E -4.92%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.79%E -4.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 19:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-05 18:40
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-05 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-05 18:55
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-05 19:05
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%2.5%2026-08-05 19:05