Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hubert Hurkacz v Alejandro Tabilo

2026-08-05 17:40 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Prévision 60.11%1.66cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -2.00%
Kelly -5.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.14%60.13%60.10%61.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.571.571.6165.79%63.85%63.69%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.89%2.51cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.763%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.96%39.87%39.90%40.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.352.4645.45%42.48%42.55%40.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Hubert Hurkacz (Local) : 60.11% ; Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur) : 39.89%. Pour Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.51. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.46, pour une espérance de -1.88% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.22%E -2.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.28%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 21:14
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.82%E -2.39%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:45
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:25
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:43
Betsson1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:35
NordicBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.42%E -2.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:35
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.87%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:20
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:45
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:24
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:14
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.02%E -3.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:00
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.88%E -0.763%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:20
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:24
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:25
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 20:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 19:55
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 20:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:00
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:25
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:25
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:00
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:20
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 21:25
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:10
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 23:45
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:25
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.83%E -4.40%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:00
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 21:24
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 21:25
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.03%E -5.25%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 21:24
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.63%E -5.68%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.63%E -5.68%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 21:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%1.8%2026-08-05 02:35
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-08-05 01:35
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-08-05 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%6.7%2026-08-05 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%6.7%2026-08-05 02:35
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%12.1%2026-08-05 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 48.39%1.50I 66.67%NM 51.61%29.2%2026-08-05 02:35