Language:English
Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Rinderknech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Prediction 64.06%1.56fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.877%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%63.97%64.23%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.481.5470.42%67.85%67.80%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visit)
Prediction 35.94%2.78fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.606%
Kelly +0.938%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%36.03%35.77%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.422.632.652.8341.32%37.98%37.74%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frances Tiafoe (Local): 64.06%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visit): 35.94%. For Arthur Rinderknech (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +1.72%E +0.606%K +0.938%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +0.638%E +0.228%K +0.354%G +0.002% | 2.8% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.16%E -0.422%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -1.88%E -0.688%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.24%E -0.823%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.68%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 00:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 00:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.04%E -6.36%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.40%E -5.87%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -7.27%E -2.82%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.35%E -0.877%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -9.07%E -3.58%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 13:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.94%E -4.87%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.94%E -4.87%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%EV -8.40%E -5.87%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%EV -13.02%E -5.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-06 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |