Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Rinderknech

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 01:09 UTC

Score final : Frances Tiafoe 0–1 Arthur Rinderknech

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Prévision 64.06%1.56cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.877%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.71%63.97%64.23%65.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.471.481.5470.42%67.85%67.80%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.94%2.78cote équitable
EV +1.72%
Avantage +0.606%
Kelly +0.938%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 2.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%36.03%35.77%38.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.422.632.652.8341.32%37.98%37.74%35.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Frances Tiafoe (Local) : 64.06% ; Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur) : 35.94%. Pour Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.78. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.83, soit une espérance positive de +1.72%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +1.72%E +0.606%K +0.938%G +0.016%2.4%2026-08-07 00:46
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +0.638%E +0.228%K +0.354%G +0.002%2.8%2026-08-07 00:50
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.16%E -0.422%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 00:46
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 00:45
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -1.88%E -0.688%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 00:49
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.24%E -0.823%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 00:50
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 00:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 00:46
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 00:46
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:46
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:46
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:46
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:46
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:46
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.68%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 00:35
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 00:36
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 00:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 00:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 00:46
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 00:45
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 00:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 00:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.04%E -6.36%K -21.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 00:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.40%E -5.87%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 00:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 00:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 00:51
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 00:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 00:50
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:46
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:36
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:46
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:51
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:51
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 00:45
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 00:46
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -7.27%E -2.82%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 09:54
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.35%E -0.877%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 00:45
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 00:51
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -9.07%E -3.58%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:36
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:49
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:50
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 23:25
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 13:58
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 16:30
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 00:50
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.94%E -4.87%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.94%E -4.87%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%EV -8.40%E -5.87%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%EV -13.02%E -5.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-08-07 00:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-08-07 00:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-08-07 00:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-08-07 00:51
ProphetX◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-07 00:51
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-07 00:51
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-08-07 00:51