Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Rinderknech

2026-08-07 00:10 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Prévision 65.56%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -6.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.73%65.50%65.63%66.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.441.4871.43%69.41%69.44%67.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.44%2.90cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -0.648%
Kelly -0.998%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.64%34.50%34.37%36.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.732.752.8539.22%36.68%36.36%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Frances Tiafoe (Local) : 65.56% ; Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur) : 34.44%. Pour Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.90. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.85, pour une espérance de -1.85% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.97%E -2.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:25
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.97%E -2.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.46%E -4.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 08:25
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.63%E -2.47%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.85%E -0.648%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 06:14
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -3.91%E -1.40%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 09:00
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 05:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 05:19
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.46%E -4.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:24
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 07:20
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 06:19
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 06:20
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 06:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 06:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:25
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.19%E -0.771%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 05:50
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.19%E -0.771%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 06:25
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 06:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 06:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:05
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:05
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:28
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 06:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:05
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 06:19
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:29
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 05:19
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 06:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:24
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:24
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:24
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 05:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 05:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 06:20
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 08:19
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 08:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.25%E -4.37%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 08:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.25%E -4.37%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:40
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.25%E -4.37%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 06:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.25%E -4.37%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 08:15
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.90%E -4.86%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 06:20
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.90%E -4.86%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 06:20
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -7.56%E -5.36%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%EV -5.63%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 06:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.22%E -5.87%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 06:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.22%E -5.87%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.46%E -4.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 06:22
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.22%E -5.87%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -12.18%E -4.78%K -7.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-06 06:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%2.6%2026-08-06 08:15
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%3.7%2026-08-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%4.2%2026-08-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%4.2%2026-08-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%4.2%2026-08-06 08:50
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%4.4%2026-08-06 08:50
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 47.96%1.29I 77.52%NM 52.04%48.9%2026-08-06 08:55