Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Rinderknech

Inizio: 2026-08-07 01:09 UTC

Finale: Frances Tiafoe 0–1 Arthur Rinderknech

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Frances Tiafoe (Casa)

Previsione 64.06%1.56quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.877%
Kelly -2.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.71%63.97%64.23%65.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.471.481.5470.42%67.85%67.80%64.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.94%2.78quota equa
EV +1.72%
Vantaggio +0.606%
Kelly +0.938%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.37%36.03%35.77%38.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.422.632.652.8341.32%37.98%37.74%35.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Frances Tiafoe (Casa): 64.06%; Arthur Rinderknech (Trasferta): 35.94%. Per Arthur Rinderknech (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.78. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.83, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.72%.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +1.72%E +0.606%K +0.938%G +0.016%2.4%2026-08-07 00:46
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +0.638%E +0.228%K +0.354%G +0.002%2.8%2026-08-07 00:50
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.16%E -0.422%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 00:46
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 00:45
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -1.88%E -0.688%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 00:49
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.24%E -0.823%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 00:50
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 00:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 00:46
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 00:46
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:46
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:46
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:46
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:46
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:46
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.68%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 00:35
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 00:36
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 00:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 00:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 00:46
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 00:45
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 00:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 00:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.04%E -6.36%K -21.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 00:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 00:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.40%E -5.87%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 00:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 00:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 00:51
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 00:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 00:50
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:46
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:36
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:46
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:51
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:45
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:51
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 00:45
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 00:46
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -7.27%E -2.82%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 09:54
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.35%E -0.877%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 00:45
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 00:51
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -9.07%E -3.58%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:36
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:49
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:50
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 23:25
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 13:58
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 16:30
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 00:50
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.94%E -4.87%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.94%E -4.87%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%EV -8.40%E -5.87%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%EV -13.02%E -5.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 16:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-08-07 00:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-08-07 00:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-08-07 00:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-08-07 00:51
ProphetX◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-07 00:51
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-07 00:51
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-08-07 00:51