Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Rinderknech

2026-08-07 00:10 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Predicción 65.56%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -6.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.73%65.53%65.63%66.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.4871.43%69.42%69.44%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)

Predicción 34.44%2.90momio equitativo
EV -0.124%
Ventaja -0.043%
Kelly -0.065%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.49%34.47%34.37%36.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.732.752.9039.22%36.68%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Frances Tiafoe (Local): 65.56%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante): 34.44%. Para Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.904. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.900, con un valor esperado de -0.124%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.97%E -2.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:25
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.97%E -2.01%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.46%E -4.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 08:25
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.124%E -0.043%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 09:05
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 09:04
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 05:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 05:19
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.28%E -2.93%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.46%E -4.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:24
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 07:20
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 06:19
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 06:20
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 06:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 06:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.94%E -3.41%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:25
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.19%E -0.771%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 05:50
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.19%E -0.771%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 06:25
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 06:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 06:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:05
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:05
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:28
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 06:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:05
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 06:19
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:29
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 05:19
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 06:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:24
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:24
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:24
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 05:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 05:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 06:20
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 08:19
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.59%E -3.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 08:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.25%E -4.37%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 08:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.25%E -4.37%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:40
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.25%E -4.37%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 06:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.25%E -4.37%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 08:15
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.90%E -4.86%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 09:05
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.90%E -4.86%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 06:20
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -7.56%E -5.36%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%EV -5.63%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 06:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.22%E -5.87%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 06:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.22%E -5.87%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.46%E -4.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 06:22
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.22%E -5.87%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -12.18%E -4.78%K -7.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-06 06:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%2.6%2026-08-06 08:15
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%3.7%2026-08-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%4.2%2026-08-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%4.2%2026-08-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%4.2%2026-08-06 08:50
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%4.4%2026-08-06 08:50
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 47.96%1.29I 77.52%NM 52.04%48.9%2026-08-06 08:55