Idioma:Español
Frances Tiafoe v Arthur Rinderknech
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Predicción 64.06%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.877%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.71%63.97%64.23%65.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.471.481.5470.42%67.85%67.80%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)
Predicción 35.94%2.78momio equitativo
EV +1.72%
Ventaja +0.606%
Kelly +0.938%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%36.03%35.77%38.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.422.632.652.8341.32%37.98%37.74%35.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Frances Tiafoe (Local): 64.06%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante): 35.94%. Para Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.78. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.83, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.72%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +1.72%E +0.606%K +0.938%G +0.016% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +0.638%E +0.228%K +0.354%G +0.002% | 2.8% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.16%E -0.422%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.52%E -0.554%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -1.88%E -0.688%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.24%E -0.823%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.68%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.03%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 00:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.55%E -3.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 00:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.04%E -6.36%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.40%E -5.87%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -5.47%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.83%E -3.97%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -7.27%E -2.82%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.35%E -0.877%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -9.07%E -3.58%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.61%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 13:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.19%E -3.51%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.94%E -4.87%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.63%E -1.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.94%E -4.87%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%EV -8.40%E -5.87%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%EV -13.02%E -5.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-06 16:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |