Language:English
Flavio Cobolli v Yannick Hanfmann
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prediction 58.03%1.72fair odd
EV +0.967%
Edge +0.556%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%57.96%58.08%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.641.7464.94%61.30%60.98%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yannick Hanfmann (Visit)
Prediction 41.97%2.38fair odd
EV +0.735%
Edge +0.306%
Kelly +0.525%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%42.04%41.92%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.252.4047.62%44.13%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 58.03%; Yannick Hanfmann (Visit): 41.97%. For Flavio Cobolli (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.967%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV +0.967%E +0.556%K +1.31%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.194%E -0.113%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.194%E -0.113%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -0.774%E -0.453%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -5.98%E -2.67%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 05:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.774%E -0.453%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.35%E -0.797%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 01:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.93%E -1.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -11.02%E -5.20%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 01:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 12:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.62%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.62%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.14%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.42%E -3.32%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.58%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 01:11 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.74%E -4.87%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.36%E -0.580%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.74%E -4.87%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -10.64%E -6.91%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -1.36%E -0.580%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |