Language:English
Flavio Cobolli v Yannick Hanfmann
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prediction 56.06%1.78fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.11%56.13%58.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.701.711.7562.50%58.91%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yannick Hanfmann (Visit)
Prediction 43.94%2.28fair odd
EV +0.614%
Edge +0.268%
Kelly +0.476%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.58%43.89%43.87%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.152.152.2948.08%46.49%46.51%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 56.06%; Yannick Hanfmann (Visit): 43.94%. For Yannick Hanfmann (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.614%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -8.62%E -5.29%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV +0.614%E +0.268%K +0.476%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:54 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.58%E -0.707%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 05:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 05:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 06:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.30%E -6.44%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.22%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.22%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.22%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:58 |
| Betsson | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.22%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:40 |
| ReBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.22%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.22%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 15:11 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.22%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 07:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.01%E -1.74%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:24 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.49%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.49%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -6.42%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.86%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:44 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.01%E -1.74%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.01%E -1.74%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.01%E -1.74%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.01%E -1.74%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.01%E -1.74%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 13:15 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 20:23 |
| betano_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -8.61%E -4.14%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |