Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Flavio Cobolli v Yannick Hanfmann

Inizio: 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Flavio Cobolli (Casa)

Previsione 56.56%1.77quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -2.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%56.51%56.59%57.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.691.701.7362.50%59.18%58.82%57.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Yannick Hanfmann (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.44%2.30quota equa
EV -1.39%
Vantaggio -0.611%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.11%43.49%43.41%45.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.082.162.152.2748.08%46.24%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Flavio Cobolli (Casa): 56.56%; Yannick Hanfmann (Trasferta): 43.44%. Per Yannick Hanfmann (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.30. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.27, con un valore atteso del -1.39%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.16%E -1.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 13:15
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.86%E -2.22%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:10
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:10
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:10
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:05
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.29%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:45
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.39%E -0.611%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 23:45
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 00:05
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 13:14
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 16:10
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 00:04
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:58
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:05
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -7.47%E -3.51%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:04
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.90%E -3.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 00:05
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 13:15
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.85%E -2.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 00:05
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.42%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 05:59
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.42%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:40
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.42%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:15
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.42%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 15:11
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.42%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.73%E -2.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:05
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.42%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.16%E -2.85%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.98%E -2.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:24
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.98%E -2.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.56%E -1.60%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:44
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 06:00
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:05
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:25
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:04
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:45
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:44
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:45
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 12:29
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:45
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:45
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:19
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:44
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 21:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 20:23
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 20:19
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:20
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.51%E -5.94%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-08-05 00:05
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-08-05 00:05
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-05 00:05
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-08-05 00:05