Idioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Yannick Hanfmann
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 58.03%1.72momio equitativo
EV +0.967%
Ventaja +0.556%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.97%57.96%58.08%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.631.641.7464.94%61.30%60.98%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante)
Predicción 41.97%2.38momio equitativo
EV +0.735%
Ventaja +0.306%
Kelly +0.525%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.39%42.04%41.92%45.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.252.4047.62%44.13%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 58.03%; Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante): 41.97%. Para Flavio Cobolli (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.72. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.74, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.967%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV +0.967%E +0.556%K +1.31%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.194%E -0.113%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.194%E -0.113%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -0.774%E -0.453%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -5.98%E -2.67%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 05:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.774%E -0.453%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.35%E -0.797%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 01:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.93%E -1.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -11.02%E -5.20%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 01:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 12:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.62%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.62%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.14%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.42%E -3.32%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.58%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 01:11 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.74%E -4.87%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.36%E -0.580%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.74%E -4.87%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -10.64%E -6.91%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -1.36%E -0.580%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |