Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Flavio Cobolli v Yannick Hanfmann

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-05 01:45 UTC

Score final : Flavio Cobolli 0–2 Yannick Hanfmann

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Prévision 58.03%1.72cote équitable
EV +0.967%
Avantage +0.556%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%57.96%58.08%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.631.641.7464.94%61.30%60.98%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Yannick Hanfmann (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.97%2.38cote équitable
EV +0.735%
Avantage +0.306%
Kelly +0.525%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.39%42.04%41.92%45.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.252.4047.62%44.13%44.44%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Flavio Cobolli (Local) : 58.03% ; Yannick Hanfmann (Visiteur) : 41.97%. Pour Flavio Cobolli (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.72. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.74, soit une espérance positive de +0.967%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV +0.967%E +0.556%K +1.31%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.194%E -0.113%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.194%E -0.113%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 01:30
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -0.774%E -0.453%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -5.98%E -2.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 05:59
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.774%E -0.453%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:43
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.35%E -0.797%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:28
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.93%E -1.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 00:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -11.02%E -5.20%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:04
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:05
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:45
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 12:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:25
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.62%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.62%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 00:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.14%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:05
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 00:55
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:05
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:20
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 00:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 00:55
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 00:35
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:54
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:54
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.84%E -2.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.42%E -3.32%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:54
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:29
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:55
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 00:55
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.00%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.58%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.46%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 01:29
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 00:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:49
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 01:11
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.16%E -4.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.74%E -4.87%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.36%E -0.580%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:09
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.74%E -4.87%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 01:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.4%2026-08-05 00:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.4%2026-08-05 00:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.4%2026-08-05 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:15
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:15
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:15
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:15
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:15
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -9.48%E -6.08%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +0.735%E +0.306%K +0.525%G +0.004%5.8%2026-08-05 00:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -10.64%E -6.91%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -1.36%E -0.580%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 00:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-08-05 01:05
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-08-05 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-05 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-05 01:30
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-08-05 01:30
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%2.4%2026-08-05 01:30