Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Casper Ruud v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

2026-08-05 16:10 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Prediction 70.31%1.42fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -7.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%70.30%70.41%71.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.41%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit)

Prediction 29.69%3.37fair odd
EV +0.040%
Edge +0.012%
Kelly +0.017%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.30%29.70%29.59%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.203.3733.90%31.62%31.25%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Casper Ruud (Local): 70.31%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit): 29.69%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.369. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.370, producing a positive expected value of +0.040%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV +0.040%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:05
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.67%E -2.68%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.554%E -0.165%K -0.236%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 00:55
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -1.15%E -0.345%K -0.493%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:29
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -1.44%E -0.435%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:25
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:55
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:40
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:39
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:54
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.78%E -4.31%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:30
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:55
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:55
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:55
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.78%E -4.31%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 00:39
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:35
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.18%E -5.44%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 00:45
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.08%E -3.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:55
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:40
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:44
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:40
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.18%E -5.44%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:40
ReBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.18%E -5.44%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.98%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:40
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:45
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:20
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:19
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 23:28
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 23:35
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.89%E -6.02%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-05 00:45
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -8.59%E -6.61%K -28.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-05 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%2.4%2026-08-05 01:35
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%10.3%2026-08-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%11.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%11.5%2026-08-05 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%11.5%2026-08-05 01:15
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 71.74%2.92I 34.25%NM 28.26%21.2%2026-08-05 01:35