Language:English
Casper Ruud v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Casper Ruud (Local)
Prediction 70.43%1.42fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -5.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%70.30%70.33%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.3976.92%74.16%74.07%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 29.57%3.38fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +0.589%
Kelly +0.830%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.70%29.67%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.193.203.4534.48%31.38%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Casper Ruud (Local): 70.43%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit): 29.57%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +2.03%E +0.589%K +0.830%G +0.017% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.554%E +0.163%K +0.231%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.52%E -2.57%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.924%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.924%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.04%E -5.33%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.40%E -0.728%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 17:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -2.70%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.11%E -1.52%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 13:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 03:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 03:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -5.66%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 07:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.52%E -2.57%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 07:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 03:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -3.52%E -2.57%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -9.21%E -3.00%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 04:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 12:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 12:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.81%E -2.04%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |