StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Casper Ruud v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-05 17:36 UTC

Endstand: Casper Ruud 2–0 Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Casper Ruud (Heim)

Prognose 70.43%1.42faire Quote
EV -2.11%
Vorteil -1.52%
Kelly -5.41%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.39

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.76%70.30%70.33%72.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.301.351.351.3976.92%74.16%74.07%71.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.57%3.38faire Quote
EV +2.03%
Vorteil +0.589%
Kelly +0.830%
Wachstum +0.017%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.97%29.70%29.67%32.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.903.193.203.4534.48%31.38%31.25%28.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Casper Ruud (Heim): 70.43%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Auswärts): 29.57%. Für Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.38. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.45 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.03%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +2.03%E +0.589%K +0.830%G +0.017%3.6%2026-08-05 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.554%E +0.163%K +0.231%G +0.001%4.6%2026-08-05 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.52%E -2.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.924%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 17:20
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.924%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.04%E -5.33%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.40%E -0.728%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 17:19
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -2.70%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 15:35
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.11%E -1.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-05 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 14:35
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:35
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:35
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 13:14
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:35
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 03:58
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 13:20
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:35
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:14
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:15
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -5.66%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:15
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.52%E -2.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 09:05
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 07:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:40
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 03:15
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -3.52%E -2.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -9.21%E -3.00%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 13:20
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 04:25
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 12:09
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 12:10
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.81%E -2.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 10:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-05 17:25
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-05 17:15
ProphetX◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-08-05 17:25
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91%1.9%2026-08-05 17:20
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-08-05 17:25