Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Início: 2026-08-05 17:36 UTC

Final: Casper Ruud 2–0 Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Previsão 70.43%1.42odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -5.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.76%70.30%70.33%72.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.351.351.3976.92%74.16%74.07%71.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 29.57%3.38odd justa
EV +2.03%
Vantagem +0.589%
Kelly +0.830%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.97%29.70%29.67%32.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.193.203.4534.48%31.38%31.25%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Casper Ruud (Local): 70.43%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante): 29.57%. Para Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.38. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.03%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +2.03%E +0.589%K +0.830%G +0.017%3.6%2026-08-05 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.554%E +0.163%K +0.231%G +0.001%4.6%2026-08-05 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.52%E -2.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.924%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 17:20
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.924%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.04%E -5.33%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.40%E -0.728%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 17:19
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -2.70%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 15:35
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.11%E -1.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-05 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 14:35
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:35
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:35
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.63%E -4.20%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 13:14
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:35
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 03:58
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 13:20
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:35
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:15
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 03:14
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:15
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.36%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -5.66%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:15
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 15:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.52%E -2.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 09:05
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 07:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:40
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 03:15
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -3.52%E -2.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -9.21%E -3.00%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 13:20
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.22%E -3.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 04:25
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 12:09
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.33%E -4.76%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 12:10
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.81%E -2.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 10:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-05 17:25
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-05 17:15
ProphetX◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-08-05 17:25
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91%1.9%2026-08-05 17:20
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-08-05 17:25