Idioma:Español
Casper Ruud v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Resultado del partido
Casper Ruud (Local)
Predicción 70.29%1.42momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -7.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%70.28%70.33%71.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.45%74.07%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 29.71%3.37momio equitativo
EV +0.126%
Ventaja +0.037%
Kelly +0.053%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.30%29.72%29.67%31.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.163.203.3733.90%31.64%31.25%29.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Casper Ruud (Local): 70.29%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante): 29.71%. Para Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.366. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.370, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.126%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV +0.126%E +0.037%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.468%E -0.140%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -1.06%E -0.319%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -1.36%E -0.410%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:39 |
| Bovada | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.63%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 00:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 00:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:55 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| betano_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 23:28 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.92%E -6.05%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-05 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 02:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 71.98% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.02% | 19.8% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |