Language:English
Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca
Head to Head
Casper Ruud (Local)
Prediction 46.29%2.16fair odd
EV +4.15%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +3.32%
Growth +0.138%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%46.07%46.35%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.082.062.2552.08%48.01%48.54%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Joao Fonseca (Visit)
Prediction 53.71%1.86fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.934%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.93%53.65%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.721.731.8361.35%57.97%57.80%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Casper Ruud (Local): 46.29%; Joao Fonseca (Visit): 53.71%. For Casper Ruud (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 16 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.25, producing a positive expected value of +4.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +4.15%E +1.85%K +3.32%G +0.138% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +3.23%E +1.45%K +2.62%G +0.085% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV +0.449%E +0.207%K +0.383%G +0.002% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -12.45%E -7.64%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.40%E -0.659%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -1.40%E -0.659%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -7.62%E -4.43%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -2.33%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -7.62%E -4.43%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 00:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%EV -1.71%E -0.934%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.18%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.64%E -2.25%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.40%E -2.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.64%E -2.25%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.64%E -2.25%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.47%E -3.11%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -6.96%E -3.46%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 23:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.35%E -4.22%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.35%E -4.22%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.27%E -4.73%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.27%E -4.73%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.74%E -4.99%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.74%E -4.99%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.74%E -4.99%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-06 00:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.74%E -4.99%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -11.12%E -5.79%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.33%EV -9.77%E -5.81%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-06 00:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -11.12%E -5.79%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.05%E -6.34%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 00:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68% | 2.6% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
Arbitrage (15 combinations) +0.92%Hard Rock Bet 2.25 (44.9%) / GTbets 1.83 (55.1%)Show all 15 combinations
| Casper Ruud (Local) | Joao Fonseca (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.25 (44.9%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (55.1%) | +0.919% |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| Virgin Bet🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| TABtouch🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| BetRivers🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| Casumo🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| Unibet🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| Grosvenor🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| Bally Bet🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |
| betPARX🎯 2.23 (45.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.83 (54.9%) | +0.515% |