Langue:Français
Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Casper Ruud (Local)
Prévision 43.87%2.28cote équitable
EV -0.422%
Avantage -0.186%
Kelly -0.333%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.11%43.80%43.95%45.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.162.162.2748.78%46.33%46.30%44.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Joao Fonseca (Visiteur)
Prévision 56.13%1.78cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -3.96%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%56.20%56.05%57.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.691.691.7362.50%59.23%59.17%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Casper Ruud (Local) : 43.87% ; Joao Fonseca (Visiteur) : 56.13%. Pour Casper Ruud (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.28. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.27, pour une espérance de -0.422% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.422%E -0.186%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -0.422%E -0.186%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 22:56 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.30%E -0.578%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.30%E -0.578%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -2.62%E -1.18%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 22:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 22:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.19%E -6.37%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.93%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 20:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:31 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -4.81%E -2.22%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.25%E -2.43%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.25%E -2.43%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 22:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -6.13%E -2.86%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.30%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.89%E -1.67%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 20:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 09:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 22:36 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 22:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 20:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 22:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:31 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-07 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 22:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 22:56 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 22:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-07 22:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 22:56 |