Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca

2026-08-07 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Prévision 45.50%2.20cote équitable
EV +2.82%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +2.24%
Croissance +0.063%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.05%45.13%45.79%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.942.122.102.2651.55%47.10%47.62%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Joao Fonseca (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.50%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -2.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.87%54.21%57.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.701.671.8061.35%58.92%59.70%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Casper Ruud (Local) : 45.50% ; Joao Fonseca (Visiteur) : 54.50%. Pour Casper Ruud (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.20. 21 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.26, pour une espérance positive de +2.82%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV +2.82%E +1.25%K +2.24%G +0.063%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -10.61%E -6.47%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +2.37%E +1.05%K +1.89%G +0.045%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV +0.547%E +0.248%K +0.452%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -7.34%E -4.32%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:09
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.818%E -0.375%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -1.27%E -0.587%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -11.16%E -6.85%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 00:45
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.18%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -3.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:15
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.18%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.07%E -6.10%K -15.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 01:05
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.25%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 01:10
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.34%E -4.32%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 01:15
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 01:19
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 01:20
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:15
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.25%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.53%E -1.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 01:15
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 01:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.80%E -3.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 01:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 01:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.19%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 01:15
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.25%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 01:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.92%E -5.01%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 01:13
ReBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.92%E -5.01%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 01:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -10.37%E -5.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -11.74%E -6.05%K -12.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -11.74%E -6.05%K -12.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%EV -10.07%E -6.10%K -15.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.5%2026-08-06 01:30
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-08-06 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%5.9%2026-08-06 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%5.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%6.2%2026-08-06 01:00
Arbitrage (4 combinaisons) +0.20%DraftKings 2.26 (44.3%) / 888sport 1.80 (55.7%)Afficher les 4 combinaisons
Casper Ruud (Local)Joao Fonseca (Visiteur)Marge
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)888sport🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)William Hill🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%