StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca

2026-08-07 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Casper Ruud (Heim)

Prognose 45.50%2.20faire Quote
EV +2.82%
Vorteil +1.25%
Kelly +2.24%
Wachstum +0.063%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.05%45.13%45.79%47.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.942.122.102.2651.55%47.10%47.62%44.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Joao Fonseca (Auswärts)

Prognose 54.50%1.83faire Quote
EV -1.89%
Vorteil -1.05%
Kelly -2.37%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.63%54.87%54.21%57.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.631.701.671.8061.35%58.92%59.70%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Casper Ruud (Heim): 45.50%; Joao Fonseca (Auswärts): 54.50%. Für Casper Ruud (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.20. 21 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.26 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +2.82%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV +2.82%E +1.25%K +2.24%G +0.063%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -10.61%E -6.47%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +2.37%E +1.05%K +1.89%G +0.045%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV +0.547%E +0.248%K +0.452%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -7.34%E -4.32%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:09
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.818%E -0.375%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -1.27%E -0.587%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -11.16%E -6.85%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 00:45
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.18%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -3.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:15
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.18%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.07%E -6.10%K -15.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 01:05
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.25%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 01:10
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.34%E -4.32%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 01:15
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 01:19
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 01:20
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:15
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.25%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.53%E -1.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 01:15
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 01:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.80%E -3.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 01:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 01:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.19%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 01:15
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.25%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 01:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.92%E -5.01%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 01:13
ReBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.92%E -5.01%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 01:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -10.37%E -5.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -11.74%E -6.05%K -12.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -11.74%E -6.05%K -12.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%EV -10.07%E -6.10%K -15.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.5%2026-08-06 01:30
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-08-06 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%5.9%2026-08-06 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%5.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%6.2%2026-08-06 01:00
Arbitrage (4 Kombinationen) +0.20%DraftKings 2.26 (44.3%) / 888sport 1.80 (55.7%)Alle 4 Kombinationen anzeigen
Casper Ruud (Heim)Joao Fonseca (Auswärts)Marge
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)888sport🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)William Hill🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%