StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-07 23:08 UTC

Endstand: Casper Ruud 0–2 Joao Fonseca

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Casper Ruud (Heim)

Prognose 43.87%2.28faire Quote
EV -0.422%
Vorteil -0.186%
Kelly -0.333%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.27

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.11%43.80%43.95%45.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.162.162.2748.78%46.33%46.30%44.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Joao Fonseca (Auswärts)

Prognose 56.13%1.78faire Quote
EV -2.89%
Vorteil -1.67%
Kelly -3.96%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.38%56.20%56.05%57.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.601.691.691.7362.50%59.23%59.17%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Casper Ruud (Heim): 43.87%; Joao Fonseca (Auswärts): 56.13%. Für Casper Ruud (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.28. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.27, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.422%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.422%E -0.186%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -0.422%E -0.186%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 22:56
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.30%E -0.578%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.30%E -0.578%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -2.62%E -1.18%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 22:30
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 22:49
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.19%E -6.37%K -16.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 22:40
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.93%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 22:55
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 20:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:31
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:31
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:31
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -4.81%E -2.22%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 22:50
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.25%E -2.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.25%E -2.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 22:35
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 22:35
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 22:36
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 22:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 22:11
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:35
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:35
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:10
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:50
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -6.13%E -2.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 22:30
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.89%E -1.67%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 20:30
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 14:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 22:35
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 22:55
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 09:49
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:36
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:30
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 22:30
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 22:28
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 20:30
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 22:28
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:31
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-08-07 22:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-08-07 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-07 22:56
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-07 22:56
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-07 22:56
ProphetX◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-08-07 22:51
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-08-07 22:56