Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca

2026-08-07 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Previsão 45.50%2.20odd justa
EV +2.82%
Vantagem +1.25%
Kelly +2.24%
Crescimento +0.063%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.05%45.13%45.79%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.942.122.102.2651.55%47.10%47.62%44.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Joao Fonseca (Visitante)

Previsão 54.50%1.83odd justa
EV -1.89%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -2.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.87%54.21%57.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.631.701.671.8061.35%58.92%59.70%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Casper Ruud (Local): 45.50%; Joao Fonseca (Visitante): 54.50%. Para Casper Ruud (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.20. 21 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.26, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +2.82%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV +2.82%E +1.25%K +2.24%G +0.063%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -10.61%E -6.47%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +2.37%E +1.05%K +1.89%G +0.045%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.46%E +0.653%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:45
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV +0.547%E +0.248%K +0.452%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -7.34%E -4.32%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:09
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.092%E +0.042%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.818%E -0.375%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -1.27%E -0.587%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -11.16%E -6.85%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 00:45
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.18%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -3.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:15
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.18%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.07%E -6.10%K -15.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 01:05
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.25%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 01:10
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.34%E -4.32%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 01:15
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 01:19
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 01:20
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:15
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.25%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.53%E -1.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 01:15
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 01:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.80%E -3.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 01:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 01:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.19%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 01:15
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.25%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 01:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.92%E -5.01%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 01:13
ReBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.92%E -5.01%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.43%E -5.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 01:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -10.37%E -5.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -11.74%E -6.05%K -12.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -9.52%E -5.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -11.74%E -6.05%K -12.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%EV -10.07%E -6.10%K -15.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-06 01:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.5%2026-08-06 01:30
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-08-06 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%5.9%2026-08-06 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%5.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%6.2%2026-08-06 01:00
Arbitragem (4 combinações) +0.20%DraftKings 2.26 (44.3%) / 888sport 1.80 (55.7%)Mostrar as 4 combinações
Casper Ruud (Local)Joao Fonseca (Visitante)Margem
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)888sport🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)William Hill🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 1.80 (55.7%)+0.197%