Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud v Joao Fonseca

Início: 2026-08-07 23:08 UTC

Final: Casper Ruud 0–2 Joao Fonseca

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Previsão 43.87%2.28odd justa
EV -0.422%
Vantagem -0.186%
Kelly -0.333%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.11%43.80%43.95%45.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.162.162.2748.78%46.33%46.30%44.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Joao Fonseca (Visitante)

Previsão 56.13%1.78odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -1.67%
Kelly -3.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.38%56.20%56.05%57.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.691.691.7362.50%59.23%59.17%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Casper Ruud (Local): 43.87%; Joao Fonseca (Visitante): 56.13%. Para Casper Ruud (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.28. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.27, com valor esperado de -0.422%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.422%E -0.186%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -0.422%E -0.186%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 22:56
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.30%E -0.578%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.30%E -0.578%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -2.62%E -1.18%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 22:30
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 22:49
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.19%E -6.37%K -16.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 22:40
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.93%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 22:55
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 20:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:31
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:31
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:30
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.37%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:31
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -4.81%E -2.22%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 22:50
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.25%E -2.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.25%E -2.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 22:35
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 22:35
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 22:36
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 22:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 22:11
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:35
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:35
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:10
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:50
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -6.13%E -2.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 22:30
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.89%E -1.67%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 20:30
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 14:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 22:35
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 22:55
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 09:49
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:36
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:30
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.13%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 22:30
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 22:28
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 20:30
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 22:28
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.45%E -2.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:31
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-08-07 22:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-08-07 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-07 22:56
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-07 22:56
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-07 22:56
ProphetX◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-08-07 22:51
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-08-07 22:56