Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cameron Norrie v Alex de Minaur

2026-08-06 17:40 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cameron Norrie (Local)

Prediction 34.63%2.89fair odd
EV +0.416%
Edge +0.144%
Kelly +0.219%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.58%34.52%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.752.9039.22%36.50%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Visit)

Prediction 65.37%1.53fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -6.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%65.42%65.48%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.431.4871.43%69.61%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cameron Norrie (Local): 34.63%; Alex de Minaur (Visit): 65.37%. For Cameron Norrie (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.90, producing a positive expected value of +0.416%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV +0.416%E +0.144%K +0.219%G +0.001%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 22:50
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.276%E -0.096%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:49
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.276%E -0.096%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 22:50
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -0.969%E -0.339%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:49
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.31%E -0.461%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -2.70%E -0.961%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:54
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 21:10
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.48%E -6.05%K -21.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:50
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:38
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:50
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:49
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:05
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:54
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:55
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 22:50
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.82%E -5.55%K -19.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 20:50
DraftKings🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.82%E -2.14%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 22:35
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 20:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.48%E -6.05%K -21.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 22:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.25%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:55
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 22:50
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 22:50
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 21:40
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 22:50
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:08
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:09
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 22:50
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.97%E -3.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.25%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:55
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.97%E -3.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.70%E -4.59%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.82%E -5.55%K -19.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-05 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.70%E -4.59%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.48%E -6.05%K -21.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-05 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.6%2026-08-06 00:40
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 35.35%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.65%10.5%2026-08-05 22:50
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 30.21%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%11.1%2026-08-06 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 30.19%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.81%11.9%2026-08-06 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 30.19%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.81%11.9%2026-08-06 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 30.19%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.81%11.9%2026-08-06 00:05