The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Cameron Norrie v Alex de Minaur

Kickoff: 2026-08-06 19:35 UTC

Final: Cameron Norrie 2–1 Alex de Minaur

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cameron Norrie (Local)

Prediction 36.54%2.74fair odd
EV +0.496%
Edge +0.180%
Kelly +0.283%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%36.50%36.59%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.592.602.7540.82%38.62%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Visit)

Prediction 63.46%1.58fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -5.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%63.50%63.41%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5369.44%66.80%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cameron Norrie (Local): 36.54%; Alex de Minaur (Visit): 63.46%. For Cameron Norrie (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.496%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.496%E +0.180%K +0.283%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV +0.130%E +0.048%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 18:41
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 19:10
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 18:36
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.06%E -0.769%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 18:46
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 18:30
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 18:34
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 19:11
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:10
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:41
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 18:31
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 18:46
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:36
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:35
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:36
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 19:15
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.35%E -5.04%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 18:40
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.72%E -2.22%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 19:15
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -6.08%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.18%E -2.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 19:11
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 18:36
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 16:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 15:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 18:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 16:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 16:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 18:36
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 18:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 18:40
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:10
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:16
ProphetX◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-06 19:16
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-08-06 19:16
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-06 19:16