Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cameron Norrie v Alex de Minaur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-06 19:35 UTC

Score final : Cameron Norrie 2–1 Alex de Minaur

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cameron Norrie (Local)

Prévision 36.54%2.74cote équitable
EV +0.496%
Avantage +0.180%
Kelly +0.283%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%36.50%36.59%38.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.592.602.7540.82%38.62%38.46%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.46%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -5.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.71%63.50%63.41%65.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.501.501.5369.44%66.80%66.67%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cameron Norrie (Local) : 36.54% ; Alex de Minaur (Visiteur) : 63.46%. Pour Cameron Norrie (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.74. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.75, soit une espérance positive de +0.496%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.496%E +0.180%K +0.283%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV +0.130%E +0.048%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 18:41
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 19:10
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 18:36
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.06%E -0.769%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 18:46
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 18:30
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 18:34
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 19:11
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:10
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:41
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 18:31
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 18:46
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:36
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:35
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:36
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 19:15
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.35%E -5.04%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 18:40
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.72%E -2.22%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 19:15
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -6.08%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.18%E -2.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 19:11
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 18:36
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 16:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 15:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 18:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 16:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 16:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 18:36
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 18:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 18:40
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:10
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:16
ProphetX◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-06 19:16
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-08-06 19:16
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-06 19:16