Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cameron Norrie v Alex de Minaur

2026-08-06 17:40 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cameron Norrie (Local)

Prévision 34.63%2.89cote équitable
EV +0.416%
Avantage +0.144%
Kelly +0.219%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.18%34.58%34.52%36.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.742.752.9039.22%36.50%36.36%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.37%1.53cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -6.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.73%65.42%65.48%66.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.431.4871.43%69.61%69.93%67.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Cameron Norrie (Local) : 34.63% ; Alex de Minaur (Visiteur) : 65.37%. Pour Cameron Norrie (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.89. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.90, pour une espérance positive de +0.416%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV +0.416%E +0.144%K +0.219%G +0.001%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 22:50
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.276%E -0.096%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:49
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.276%E -0.096%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 22:50
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -0.969%E -0.339%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:49
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.31%E -0.461%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -2.70%E -0.961%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:54
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 21:10
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.48%E -6.05%K -21.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:50
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:38
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:50
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:49
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:05
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:54
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:55
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 22:50
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.82%E -5.55%K -19.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 20:50
DraftKings🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.82%E -2.14%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 22:35
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 20:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.48%E -6.05%K -21.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 22:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.25%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:55
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 22:50
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 22:50
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 21:40
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 22:50
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:08
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:09
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 22:50
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.97%E -3.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.25%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:55
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.97%E -3.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.55%E -3.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.70%E -4.59%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.82%E -5.55%K -19.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-05 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.70%E -4.59%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.48%E -6.05%K -21.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-05 22:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%5.4%2026-08-06 01:40
ProphetX2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%6.2%2026-08-06 01:40
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 30.70%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%9.3%2026-08-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 30.68%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.32%10.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 30.68%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.32%10.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 30.68%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.32%10.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 55.12%1.40I 71.43%NM 44.88%59.1%2026-08-06 01:30