Idioma:Español
Cameron Norrie v Alex de Minaur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cameron Norrie (Local)
Predicción 36.54%2.74momio equitativo
EV +0.496%
Ventaja +0.180%
Kelly +0.283%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%36.50%36.59%38.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.592.602.7540.82%38.62%38.46%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 63.46%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -5.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.71%63.50%63.41%65.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.501.501.5369.44%66.80%66.67%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cameron Norrie (Local): 36.54%; Alex de Minaur (Visitante): 63.46%. Para Cameron Norrie (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.74. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.496%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.496%E +0.180%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV +0.130%E +0.048%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-06 18:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 19:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 18:36 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.06%E -0.769%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 18:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 18:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 19:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:41 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 18:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 18:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 18:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 18:36 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:46 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:46 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 19:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.35%E -5.04%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.72%E -2.22%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -6.08%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.18%E -2.77%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 19:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 18:36 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 16:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 16:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 18:51 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 16:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 18:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 18:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 19:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 19:16 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-06 19:16 |
| Novig◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 19:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.3% | 2026-08-06 19:16 |