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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Cameron Norrie v Alex de Minaur

Inizio: 2026-08-06 19:35 UTC

Finale: Cameron Norrie 2–1 Alex de Minaur

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cameron Norrie (Casa)

Previsione 36.54%2.74quota equa
EV +0.496%
Vantaggio +0.180%
Kelly +0.283%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.37%36.50%36.59%38.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.592.602.7540.82%38.62%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)

Previsione 63.46%1.58quota equa
EV -2.91%
Vantaggio -1.90%
Kelly -5.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.71%63.50%63.41%65.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.501.501.5369.44%66.80%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cameron Norrie (Casa): 36.54%; Alex de Minaur (Trasferta): 63.46%. Per Cameron Norrie (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.74. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.496%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.496%E +0.180%K +0.283%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV +0.130%E +0.048%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 18:41
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 19:10
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 18:36
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.06%E -0.769%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 18:46
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 18:30
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 18:34
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 19:11
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:10
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 18:41
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 18:31
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 18:46
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:36
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:35
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:36
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:46
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 19:15
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.35%E -5.04%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 18:40
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.72%E -2.22%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 19:15
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -6.08%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.18%E -2.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 19:11
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 18:36
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 16:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 15:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 18:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 16:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 16:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 18:36
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 18:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 18:40
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 18:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:10
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-06 19:16
ProphetX◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-06 19:16
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-08-06 19:16
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-06 19:16