Language:English
Arthur Rinderknech v Brandon Nakashima
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Rinderknech (Local)
Prediction 34.89%2.87fair odd
EV -0.558%
Edge -0.196%
Kelly -0.302%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.64%35.05%34.83%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.662.702.8540.00%37.54%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brandon Nakashima (Visit)
Prediction 65.11%1.54fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.681%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.95%65.17%66.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.461.5271.43%68.22%68.49%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 34.89%; Brandon Nakashima (Visit): 65.11%. For Arthur Rinderknech (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -0.558%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.558%E -0.196%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.558%E -0.196%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 19:12 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.907%E -0.319%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -1.60%E -0.569%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 01:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 08:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 11:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 10:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.90%E -4.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 13:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -5.09%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -1.04%E -0.681%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 18:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 08:11 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 08:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 19:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.84%E -2.56%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 08:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.20%E -5.81%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 19:12 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -2.99%E -2.01%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |