Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arthur Rinderknech v Brandon Nakashima

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 19:20 UTC

Score final : Arthur Rinderknech 1–2 Brandon Nakashima

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Prévision 34.89%2.87cote équitable
EV -0.558%
Avantage -0.196%
Kelly -0.302%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.64%35.05%34.83%37.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.662.702.8540.00%37.54%37.04%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Brandon Nakashima (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.11%1.54cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.681%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%64.95%65.17%66.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.461.5271.43%68.22%68.49%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arthur Rinderknech (Local) : 34.89% ; Brandon Nakashima (Visiteur) : 65.11%. Pour Arthur Rinderknech (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.87. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.85, pour une espérance de -0.558% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.558%E -0.196%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 08:55
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.558%E -0.196%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 19:12
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.907%E -0.319%K -0.493%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 13:09
SportsBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -1.60%E -0.569%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 19:00
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:10
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 19:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 19:14
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 19:14
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 19:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 01:19
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:10
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:34
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:10
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.90%E -4.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 19:15
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 13:33
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -5.09%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -1.04%E -0.681%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-08 19:15
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 18:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 16:30
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 19:15
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 19:15
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 19:14
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 16:29
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:14
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 08:11
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 08:10
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 19:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 08:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.84%E -2.56%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 08:10
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 08:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:14
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 08:40
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 19:19
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.20%E -5.81%K -19.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 19:19
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 19:12
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 19:14
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 19:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -2.99%E -2.01%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-08 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-08 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-08 19:15
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-08 19:15
Novig◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
ProphetX◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%1.3%2026-08-08 19:15
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%1.5%2026-08-08 19:15