Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Rinderknech v Brandon Nakashima

Início: 2026-08-08 19:20 UTC

Final: Arthur Rinderknech 1–2 Brandon Nakashima

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Previsão 34.89%2.87odd justa
EV -0.558%
Vantagem -0.196%
Kelly -0.302%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.64%35.05%34.83%37.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.662.702.8540.00%37.54%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Brandon Nakashima (Visitante)

Previsão 65.11%1.54odd justa
EV -1.04%
Vantagem -0.681%
Kelly -1.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.50%64.95%65.17%66.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.471.461.5271.43%68.22%68.49%65.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 34.89%; Brandon Nakashima (Visitante): 65.11%. Para Arthur Rinderknech (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.87. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.85, com valor esperado de -0.558%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.558%E -0.196%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 08:55
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.558%E -0.196%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 19:12
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.907%E -0.319%K -0.493%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 13:09
SportsBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -1.60%E -0.569%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 19:00
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.30%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:10
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 19:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 19:14
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 19:14
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 19:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 01:19
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:10
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:34
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:10
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.90%E -4.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 19:15
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 13:33
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -5.09%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -1.04%E -0.681%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-08 19:15
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 18:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 16:30
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 19:15
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 19:15
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 19:14
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 16:29
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:14
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 08:11
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 08:10
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 19:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.79%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 08:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.84%E -2.56%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 08:10
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 08:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.54%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:14
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 08:40
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 19:19
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -9.28%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.20%E -5.81%K -19.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 19:19
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -11.03%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 19:12
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 19:14
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 19:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -12.77%E -5.11%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -2.99%E -2.01%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-08 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-08 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-08 19:15
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-08 19:15
Novig◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
ProphetX◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%1.3%2026-08-08 19:15
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%1.5%2026-08-08 19:15