La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Arthur Rinderknech v Brandon Nakashima

2026-08-08 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Predicción 36.44%2.74momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.598%
Kelly -0.950%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.51%36.46%36.43%37.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.602.7041.67%38.85%38.46%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Brandon Nakashima (Visitante)

Predicción 63.56%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -5.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.19%63.54%63.57%64.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.491.5370.42%67.42%67.11%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 36.44%; Brandon Nakashima (Visitante): 63.56%. Para Arthur Rinderknech (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.74. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.70, con un valor esperado de -1.61%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.61%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 06:16
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -2.71%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 06:11
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 05:46
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 05:46
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.53%E -1.73%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 05:45
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.89%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 05:45
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 07:16
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 05:41
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 05:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 05:40
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 06:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 06:30
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:36
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:36
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:36
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:41
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:41
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 05:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 06:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 05:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 05:51
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 06:35
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 06:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 05:45
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 05:45
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 05:46
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 05:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 07:05
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -7.44%E -2.93%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 06:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 07:15
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 07:05
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 07:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 06:35
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 06:35
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 05:45
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.84%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 05:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -10.00%E -4.05%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 05:45
ReBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -10.00%E -4.05%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 05:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 05:46
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 05:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%1.8%2026-08-07 07:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%1.8%2026-08-07 07:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%1.8%2026-08-07 07:40
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%7.1%2026-08-07 06:31
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 34.81%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%8.8%2026-08-07 07:50