Language:English
Arthur Fils v Cameron Norrie
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Fils (Local)
Prediction 67.01%1.49fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -6.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.43%67.22%66.90%69.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.78%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cameron Norrie (Visit)
Prediction 32.99%3.03fair odd
EV +4.59%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +2.12%
Growth +0.097%
assuming max odds 3.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.33%32.78%33.10%34.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.892.883.1737.74%34.63%34.72%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Fils (Local): 67.01%; Cameron Norrie (Visit): 32.99%. For Cameron Norrie (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV +4.59%E +1.45%K +2.12%G +0.097% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 01:37 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -6.86%E -4.94%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +2.28%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.28%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV +0.304%E +0.100%K +0.149%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.356%E -0.118%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-09 01:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 00:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -1.35%E -0.450%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 00:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.67%E -0.903%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.67%E -0.903%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 01:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -3.33%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -3.33%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -8.20%E -5.99%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -3.66%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 01:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:46 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 15:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 00:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.63%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.62%E -2.34%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 01:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 01:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 01:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 01:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.56%E -4.74%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |