Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Fils v Cameron Norrie

2026-08-08 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Fils (Local)

Prediction 65.78%1.52fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -8.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.04%65.76%65.79%67.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.431.4672.46%69.92%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Visit)

Prediction 34.22%2.92fair odd
EV -0.767%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.404%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%34.24%34.21%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.752.9039.22%36.55%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arthur Fils (Local): 65.78%; Cameron Norrie (Visit): 34.22%. For Cameron Norrie (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.90, with an expected value of -0.767%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.96%E -2.71%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.85%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 07:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.96%E -2.71%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.32%E -3.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.96%E -2.71%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.32%E -3.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:31
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.96%E -2.71%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.32%E -3.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:35
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.96%E -2.71%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 05:50
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.62%E -3.18%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.19%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 06:00
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.62%E -3.18%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.19%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 06:55
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.62%E -3.18%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.87%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 05:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.62%E -3.18%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:00
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.19%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:46
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.19%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.87%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 06:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:36
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:41
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:40
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:51
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:35
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 06:35
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.767%E -0.265%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 05:50
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:36
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:36
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:36
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:36
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:41
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:41
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 06:26
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.15%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.59%E -4.64%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.59%E -4.64%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.90%E -2.15%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 05:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.59%E -4.64%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.59%E -4.64%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.59%E -4.64%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 05:45
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.45%E -0.504%K -0.772%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.19%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 05:51
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 05:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 05:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 05:45
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 05:45
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.22%E -6.68%K -24.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.767%E -0.265%K -0.404%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 05:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.22%E -6.68%K -24.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 05:46
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.22%E -6.68%K -24.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 05:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%5.4%2026-08-07 06:40
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04%12.4%2026-08-07 05:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 44.84%1.13I 88.50%NM 55.16%60.4%2026-08-07 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 50.00%1.13I 88.50%NM 50.00%77.0%2026-08-07 06:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 50.00%1.13I 88.50%NM 50.00%77.0%2026-08-07 06:35