默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arthur Fils v Cameron Norrie

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 01:57 UTC

最终结果: Arthur Fils 2–0 Cameron Norrie

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arthur Fils (主队)

预测 67.01%1.49公平赔率
EV -2.84%
优势 -1.96%
Kelly -6.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.43%67.22%66.90%69.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.78%70.42%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cameron Norrie (客队)

预测 32.99%3.03公平赔率
EV +4.59%
优势 +1.45%
Kelly +2.12%
增长率 +0.097%

假设最高赔率为 3.17

博彩公司预测分布
30.33%32.78%33.10%34.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.892.883.1737.74%34.63%34.72%31.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Arthur Fils (主队):67.01%;Cameron Norrie (客队):32.99%。 对于“Cameron Norrie (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.03。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.17,对应+4.59%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV +4.59%E +1.45%K +2.12%G +0.097%4.0%2026-08-09 01:37
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -6.86%E -4.94%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +2.28%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025%4.2%2026-08-08 21:34
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.28%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025%5.8%2026-08-07 17:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV +0.304%E +0.100%K +0.149%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 01:50
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.356%E -0.118%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 01:45
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-09 01:54
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 01:45
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 00:44
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:55
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 01:49
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 17:45
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -1.35%E -0.450%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 00:30
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.67%E -0.903%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 00:55
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.67%E -0.903%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 01:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -3.33%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 01:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -3.33%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 01:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -8.20%E -5.99%K -22.17%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -3.66%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 01:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 01:55
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 17:45
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 17:46
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 15:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 01:40
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 01:45
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 00:45
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.63%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 01:55
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.62%E -2.34%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 01:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 01:55
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 01:55
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 01:54
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 01:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 01:48
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 01:48
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 01:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 01:55
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 01:55
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.56%E -4.74%K -7.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 01:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-09 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-09 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-09 01:55
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-09 01:55
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-09 01:55
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-08-09 01:55
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-08-09 01:55